Gilbert Burnham is Professor of International Health and part of the Center for Refugee and Disaster Response. He has worked extensively in Iraq, Afghanistan, Iraq, Lebanon and Jordan as well as a variety of African countries,
Background: The continuing conflict in Iraq has now created an estimated four million internally displaced persons (IDPs). The bulk of recently displaced persons are in Central Iraq, often in insecure and difficult situations.
Objective: To determine the health status and health needs of women and children, age 15 and under, among a sample of this IDP population in Kirkuk, Baghdad, and Karbala governorates.
Methods: Data were collected from the senior female in 1216 families which contained 3665 children living in 45 makeshift settlements.
Findings: The majority of IDPs were living in tents or religious centers. Repeated displacements were common. Kidnappings were reported by 5.2% of families, and 7.9% of families reported a death of a family member during or after displacement. Intentional violence accounted for 72.3% of deaths. Only a third of children in school at the time of displacement continued in school. On average, households had received assistance on 3.2 occasions since displacement, food being the most common form. Access to health services was difficult. Some form of transport was often required. Few women knew where to secure antenatal services and many did not know where childhood immunization services were available. During or after displacement 307 women had delivered or were currently pregnant. Complications of pregnancies were common, with a quarter reporting anemia, and 22.1% experiencing hemorrhage. Both communicable and non-communicable diseases (NCDs) were common in the women and children in the survey. Scabies, diarrhea and lice were common among children. Among women, hypertension accounted for 36.6% of NCDs and type 2 diabetes for 15.9%. Domestic violence directed against women was reported in 17.4% of families and against children in 26.6%
Interpretation: Women and children in IDP settlements of Central Iraq experience many vulnerabilities involving their health, education and their environment, in addition to living in physical danger. While some external assistance was received, much more is needed to meet the needs of a displaced population which is unlikely to return home soon.
Iraq currently has about 4 million internally displaced persons (IDPs), 10.8% of its population and 10% of IDPs worldwide.
The Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS/ISIL
Currently, about 28% of IDPs in Iraq are hosted in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) areas, 68% in central Iraq, and 4% in the South. The governorates hosting the largest IDP populations are Anbar, Baghdad, and Kirkuk.
The majority of IDPs are registered with the Ministry of Displacement and Migration or the in the KRG areas with the Department of Displacement and Migration, entitling them to a cash grant of 1 million dinars (US$ 810).
In response to the massive displacements from the ISIS assaults the Inter Agency Standing Committee (IASC) declared Iraq a level 3 (L3) emergency, setting out a “Whole of Iraq” assistance strategy.
The objective of this study was to obtain further information about the health status and health needs of IDP women and children, aged 15 and under, living in the informal settlements in central Iraq. The study was conducted between February and June 2015.
Our focus was on settlements in Baghdad, Karbala and Kirkuk, which between them hosted an estimated 688,944 IDPs, about a third of Iraq’s IDPs.
The study design was a cross-sectional study conducted during a five month period in early 2015, in Baghdad, Kirkuk and Karbala governorates.
The study participants were women in selected IDP families living in informal settlements who provided information about their health needs and those of their children, aged 15 and under, as well as family characteristics. The desired sample size was about 1000 families. This size was estimated to be sufficient to detect variables of interest with 95% confidence with a power of 80%. Sampling locations are shown in Figure 2.
Sampling was based on population data available as of February 2015, including data from an internal report by the Baghdad City Council. Ongoing displacement and lack of registration of many IDPs meant this was most certainly a low estimate.
Sampling was done through a two-stage cluster random sampling technique by taking non-equal clusters from secure and accessible IDP settlements. On entering a settlement, the study team met with the person nominally in charge of the settlement, explaining the nature and purpose of the survey and providing the official letters of approval. Using lists of families maintained by the person in charge of the settlement, a systematic random sample of 5% of families was obtained. A trusted local resident was used as guide to assist in finding the families to be sampled and to inform community members who might have concerns about the survey. Some settlements were very small (fewer than 50 families) and sometimes families were scattered among rented houses or host families, making it difficult to locate a sample of 5% of the settlement population. Where there was a problem sampling from an area because of small, dispersed numbers or security restrictions, the cluster size was increased to 10% of the number of families in accessible and contiguous IDP areas.
On approaching a family, verbal informed consent was obtained from the mother. Where there was more than one woman present, the senior woman was interviewed. The phrasing of questions was sometimes modified as required for a specific cultural or regional background of the woman being interviewed. Sensitive questions concerning pregnancy, emotions and domestic violence were asked very strict confidence and out of hearing of others.
A goal was to draw a sample to adequately represent each settlement population. Some bias in sampling was unavoidable as only a small proportion of IDPs were in settlements, the vast majority being invisibly integrated into the urban environment in unknown locations. Many IDP settlements were under strict security restrictions that excluded access for interviewers. However our sample, taken from informal settlements, is likely from the more vulnerable sector of IDPs, based on information from those providing assistance.
Data were collected using mostly quantitative measures, but with some more qualitative questions. The interviewers collected information about demographics, living circumstances, socioeconomic status, health and social problems after displacement, and access to health care and other services such as school attendance. Semi-structured questions around a few sensitive topics allowed the interviewer to probe for underlying factors, and then group the responses according to her judgement. The questionnaire was written in English, translated into Arabic, and re-translated to English to ensure accuracy. Interviews were conducted by female family medicine specialists with three days of training for this study, and extensive prior experience in community surveys. The interviewers were supervised by the study’s senior researcher.
No personal identifiers were collected. All questions of a sensitive nature were conducted out of ear shot of other persons. Completed questions were kept in a secure location. Computer entered data carried no specific location information. Ethical approval for the survey was obtained from the Iraqi Council for Medical Specialization and the Iraq Ministry of Health and the work carried out in accordance with the WMA Declaration of Helsinki. Permission to conduct the survey was obtained from the Baghdad Provincial Council and appropriate governorate authorities. Analysis of the data was declared exempt by the Institutional Review Board of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.
Descriptive statistical analysis was carried out on the full data set using Stata version 13 (College Station, TX). The Stata ‘svy’ command was used to account for the cluster survey design so that standard errors of point estimates and model coefficients were adjusted for survey design effects. Subgroups were compared using chi squared and t-test methods. Simple logistic regression methods were used to obtain odds ratios.
*governorates for 66 children missing.
Governorate
Total no. IDP locations
Estimated number of IDP households
Estimated number of IDPs
Families sampled
Children 15 and under*
Baghdad
505
45,607
273,642
521
1612
Kirkuk
95
57,440
344,640
544
514
Karbala
104
11,777
70,662
151
1471
Totals
704
114,824
688,944
1216
3663
In Baghdad, 521 families from 20 settlements were interviewed; in Kirkuk, 544 families from 19 settlements, and in Karbala, 151 families from six settlements (Figure 2). In all, 1216 women were interviewed from families with in total 3663 children. No woman declined to participate. Demographic characteristics of the families interviewed are listed in Table 2.
Number of women interviewed
1216
Median age of women
35.0 years
Median family size
7.0
Total number of children 15 and under
3663
Number of children under age 5
1013 (27.6%)
Median age of all children aged 15 and under
8.0 years
Median number of children per family
3.0 children
Children attending school at the time of displacement
2335
Children currently attending school
789 (33.8%)
Total number of male children aged 15 and under
1910 (52.1%)
Female headed families
215 (17.1%)
Illiterate women
319 (26.2%)
Women completed primary school or able to read and write
690 (56.8%)
Women not working outside the family
1153 (94.8%)
Median number of times family displaced
2.0 (range 1-10)
Much of the survey population was displaced from January 2014 through June 2015, with 662 (54.3%) families being displaced between January and June 2014 (Table 3).
Number of displacements
No.
(%)
1
497
40.9
2
30
2.4
3
358
29.4
4
207
17.0
5
57
4.6
6
29
2.3
7
21
1.7
8
11
0.9
9 or more
6
0.5
subtotal for more than one displacement
718
Total displaced
1216
100
Reasons for displacement if more than one displacement
692
96.3
Security
125
17.4
Economic
1
0.1
Home Damaged
818*
113.8*
Date of Displacement
January - June 2014
662
54.3
July- December 2015
391
32.2
January - June 2015
163
13.5
Total
1216
100
*some women gave more than one reason
In 2015, only 163 (13.5%) of surveyed families had been displaced by the end of May. Of those displaced, 498 (40.9%) were displaced only once, 318 (26.2%) had two or three displacements, and 331 (27.2%) had four or more displacements. IDPs currently resident in Baghdad reported a mean of 3.2 (95% CI =2.7-3.6, p<0.001) displacements, a higher number than for other governorates. Lack of security was cited as the reason for displacement by nearly all (96.3%) families.
Number
Percent
Shelter type
Tent
273
22.5
Religious building
253
20.8
House
188
15.5
Government Institution
119
9.8
Hotel
57
4.7
Camp (Caravan)
28
2.3
School
9
0.7
Others*
289
23.8
Source of water supply
Tanker trucks
635
52.2
Water mains
581
47.8
Toilets
Public
936
77.0
Individual or family
280
23.0
Toilet is clean
766
63.0
Cooking fuel
Gas
919
75.6
Other
104
8.6
None
192
15.8
Electrical power
Available
990
81.4
Not connected
226
18.6
*including unfinished/abandoned buildings, hotels, caravans, and carparks
The majority of families were sheltered in tents or religious centers. Crowding was a problem with an average of 6.5 persons per sleeping room or space. Only 417 (34.4%) shelters had fewer than five persons sleeping together at night and only 27% of families had more than one sleeping room. Food supplies were considered adequate by 967 (79.5%) families. Gas was the major source of cooking fuel, but there were 192 (15.8%) families which lacked any cooking facilities. Of the 2335 children who had been in school at the time of displacement, only 789 (33.8%) of these children had continued in school after the initial displacement. Children of mothers who had completed secondary school had the highest odds of continuing in school after displacement (OR 2.9, 95%CI 1.96-4.41, p<0001).
Kidnapping of a family member was reported by 66 (5.2%) families, with seven families having had more than one member taken (Table 5).
Number
Percent
Members of family kidnapped
0
1150
94.6
1
59
4.9
2 or more
7
0.6
Total kidnapped
66
5.5
Number of deaths since displacement
No deaths
1138
93.6
1 death
76
6.3
2 or more deaths
21
1.7
Total deaths
97
7.9
Age of deceased at time of death
<10 yrs
9
9.3
10-19 years
7
7.2
20-29 years
34
35.1
30-39 years
17
17.5
40 - 49 years
9
9.3
50-59 years
10
10.3
60+ years
11
11.3
Sex of deceased (all ages)
Male
72
74.2
Female
25
25.8
Cause of death
Gun shot
61
61.8
Explosion and shells
7
7.3
Beheaded
2
2.1
Breast cancer
2
2.1
Cerebrovascular accident
3
3.1
Car Crash
2
2.1
Heart Disease
14
14.4
Others*
6
4.3
*pneuomnia, renal failure, heat stroke, diarrhea
Families headed by females more likely to have a family member kidnapping as compared to families with a male head of household (x2 34.6, p<0.001). Kidnappings occurred at a similar level among families fleeing Anbar, Diyala, Mosul, and Saladin (2.7%-6.1%). However, a much higher number (23 or 39.7%) of the 58 families fleeing Kirkuk reported one or more persons kidnapped from their family than from other governorates (x2 93.4, p<0.001)
There were 97 families (7.9%) who reported the death of a member during or after displacement (Table 5).The median age at death among adults was 30.0 years. Three-quarters of these deaths were among males. The median age of death for children was 1.25 years. The leading cause of reported deaths among both adults and children was intentional violence (72.3% of deaths). Among the 57 individuals with intentional causes of death (gun shot, ordnance, beheadings), 45.6% were between 20 and 29 years of age and 87.4% were males. Deaths were not statistically more common for families displaced from a specific governorate or for the number of displacements.
On average, assistance was reported by families to have been received 3.4 times (95%CI, 3.1-3.8). The principal sources of assistance were NGOs (811 or 68% of families), followed by government assistance (107 or 17.5%), and from individuals or other groups (153 or 13.0%). The most common types of assistance reported were food (reported by 96.9%), clothing (65.4%), household goods (50%), and cash (40.2%). The frequency with which assistance was received was not related to the educational level of the mother, family size, or number of displacements.
Non-communicable diseases as diagnosed by a health worker were reported by 656 of the women interviewed. Hypertension was reported by 240 (36.6% of those with any NCD), diabetes by 104 (15.9%), asthma by 100 (8.3%), cardiovascular disease by 95 (14.5%), and arthritis by 84 (12.8%). Other conditions include migraine, peptic ulcer, malignancies, and irritable bowel syndrome.
Since displacement, some 430 of the 4879 women and children had been hospitalized for various conditions other than pregnancy. These numbers included 159 children under age five admitted, constituting 37.1% of all admissions reported. Overall, the media age of pediatric admissions was 4.0 years, equally divided between males and females. The average age of adult women admitted to hospital was 41.0 years.
These data present a number of serious public health problems among the IDPs of central Iraq. The difficulty in accessing this population by the international agencies, compared with those in the Kurdish region reduces the awareness of needs in central Iraq. The pattern of privation and difficult access to health care which we found in this study is likely repeated many times over among the nearly four million IDPs of Iraq, particularly those in the central region. Families have been uprooted several times in the flight from the advancing ISIS fighters. Family members have been killed or kidnapped while others have died from conditions which may have been treatable by accessible health services in a more stable and environment. Even in settlements, access to health services was low. Translating the findings of this study into action is a major challenge given limited resources and continuing instability.
This study focused on vulnerable families on the margins of Iraqi’s millions of displaced who live in identified settlements. At the same time it provides an important window into the lives of the displaced living in some of the less accessible situations. Similar or worse conditions are likely to exist among families scattered through urban areas living singly in rented quarters, derelict buildings, car parks, or staying with host families.
The greatest challenge to this population is basic day-to-day subsistence. While aid from multiple resources is reaching IDP families, the average distribution of 3.2 aid deliveries since the time of displacement is hardly adequate for many people who had been displaced for one year or more at the time of this study. IDPs are eligible for monthly government cash grants, though these are now becoming increasingly harder to access. In an attempt to improve access to assistance in August 2015, the United Nations (UN) announced the launch of a national humanitarian hotline. Using this Iraqis can receive information about assistance available, request aid, and provide confidential feedback on humanitarian efforts.
Women respondents identified NGOs as the most active in providing their families with assistance. This NGO group would include various international groups such as the World Food Program (WFP), United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), and International Organization for Migration (IOM) as well as numerous local civil society organizations. In spite of having been displaced for a year or longer, most families reported having received only occasional assistance, most commonly in the form of food. In many cases food was distributed as part of the Iraqi Public Distribution System (PDS), established in 1991. Many IDPs were registered with the PDS at their permanent residence, but their access to food aid was interrupted during the often slow process of having their records transferred to their current location.
The collapse of oil prices and an increase in military expenditures in Iraq has caused the per capita GDP to contract by some 19% in 2015, and led to surging unemployment.
The effects of conflict on the schooling of children across Iraq have also been a great concern, with an estimated 2 million children missing school in the past year.
The IDPs in our study reported that access to primary health care services was not particularly easy, with only 57.1% of women stating that PHC services were readily available. Even where these services were available, only 23.0% indicated that these could be reached on foot. At the same time, the presence of Health Visitors was reported to be available to about a quarter of women interviewed. The community access program by qualified health workers is an established program in some other parts of Iraq. Antenatal services were known to be available by only 4.0% of women interviewed. This is of particular concern, as the accounts from the 307 women who were pregnant or who had delivered during or after displacement showed that many serious and avoidable complications had occurred. Pregnant displace women are at high risk, as they often left their homes suddenly, sometimes under violent circumstances, and then experienced further displacements under duress. These stressful circumstances could certainly have a negative effect on their pregnancy. Insufficient food could lead to anemia and micronutrient deficiencies in pregnancy. Women may be forced to give birth in unsanitary and/or unsafe conditions, which may lack access to emergency obstetrical care, further increasing risks of life-threatening complications.
Similarly of concern is that only 63% of surveyed women knew where EPI vaccination services could be obtained. In the first half of 2015, Iraq experienced 1352 measles cases, the majority of which were in Baghdad and adjacent Babil, raising serious concerns about the apparent limited knowledge of where to receive vaccinations.
All families reported access to water. Sources of water were about evenly divided between water mains and supplies from tanker trucks. Piped water is unreliable in urban areas of Iraq. Many IDP tented sites were supplied from tanks containing chlorinated water brought in by truck. As a primary source water, at times IDPs in some locations purchased water from vendors. Where water mains exist they are often in a badly deteriorated state. In the November 2015 outbreak, the largest number of cholera cases were in Baghdad and Babil. This was thought to be associated with the heavy rains of October 2015, which caused many areas in Baghdad to be flooded with raw sewage.
Among family of the women interviewed, non-communicable diseases were common. This is consistent with the relatively high prevalence of non-communicable diseases seen in the region among other displaced populations such as Syrian refugees.
Deaths were common during the time of flight or while living in temporary settlements. Among interviewed families, 97 (7.9%) reported death of at least one member since displacement. The violent circumstances associated with the IDP displacement was reflected by 70 (72.2%) of these deaths were due to intentional violence. Given the nature of conflict in Iraq with high velocity weapons, the deliberate targeting of civilians, and the multiple displacements of this population, this figure is not surprising.
A survey of this nature has many limitations. A sampling frame of all IDPs in Central Iraq was not available. Even if it had been, the numbers would be constantly changing as new displacements occurred and families moved in and out of settlements. As the numbers of IDPs in settlements was in constant flux, we cannot be sure that precisely the same proportions of families were sampled in each settlement. There are likely to be many other vulnerable families, out of sight in abandoned or partially constructed buildings whose circumstances may have been even more vulnerable. IDP families living with hosts are likely to be vulnerable in different ways from those we found in settlements, and they were unreached by this survey. The lack of a secure environment around many settlement means that some IDP families could not be reached, and their condition could be substantially worse than those in relatively more secure situations. Although all interviewers were female doctors and experienced in surveys, IDP women may have been reticent to answer sensitive questions. We limited this survey to families, but in displaced populations the household may be a much larger unit, including unrelated persons joining during displacement. By surveying the household instead, the amount of trauma and kidnapping, as well as other violent events may have been larger.
The future situation for IDPs in central Iraq is very uncertain. The border areas with ISIS are unstable with almost certain prospects for continuing violent conflict, and perhaps further population displacement. The probability of a quick return home for IDPs is unlikely and when it does comes it may be extremely slow, given the unpredictable and destructive nature of continuing conflict in Iraq. When return eventually comes, the social fabric, the institutions of the state, and many of livelihoods that sustained these communities for decades cannot be easily reconstructed. For many families, these should be their most productive years, but instead they have been torn apart, traumatized, and now their lives are in indefinite holding patterns. Both families and the country will suffer from this loss.
The vulnerability of this population is great, and the emotional trauma of multiple displacements, kidnapping and deaths from intentional violence is great. While some aid is reaching families, much more is needed. Though Iraq is a middle income country, reaching the IDPs in central Iraq will take much more in international assistance than is currently being received. Unfortunately, at this time of great need, assistance is being cut back throughout the region because of lack of funding.
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
We acknowledge the assistance of many people in IDP settlements who generously gave of their time to make this survey possible. We appreciate the support by civil authorities in making data on the numbers and locations of displaced populations available to the survey team. We are grateful to Megan Cherewick for her thorough work with data analysis.