Dr. Jonatan A. Lassa is a Research Fellow based at the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. He received his PhD from the University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
This research aims to understand the organizational network typology of large-scale disaster intervention in developing countries and to understand the complexity of post-disaster intervention, through the use of network theory based on empirical data from post-tsunami reconstruction in Aceh, Indonesia, during 2005/2007. The findings suggest that the ‘ degrees of separation’ (or network diameter) between any two organizations in the field is 5, thus reflecting ‘small world’ realities and therefore making no significant difference with the real human networks, as found in previous experiments. There are also significant loops in the network reflecting the fact that some actors tend to not cooperate, which challenges post disaster coordination. The findings show the landscape of humanitarian actors is not randomly distributed. Many actors were connected to each other through certain hubs, while hundreds of actors make ‘scattered’ single ‘principal-client’ links. The paper concludes that by understanding the distribution of degree, centrality, ‘degrees of separation’ and visualization of the network, authorities can improve their understanding of the realities of coordination, from macro to micro scales.
Large scale disasters occur in both developed and developing countries. Hurricane Katrina in 2005 in the United States and the Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami in 2011 in Japan are examples of large natural catastrophic event in the 21st century that occurred in developed countries. More large scale natural catastrophes in this century have occurred in developing countries such as Indian Ocean Tsunami that hit 14 countries in Indian Ocean and West Africa in 2004, Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar in 2008, devastating earthquakes in Haiti in 2010 and Nepal earthquakes in 2015.
Developed countries seem to be more independent in dealing with large scale disasters. Within the context of developing countries, it has been observed that major catastrophes trigger the requirement for external organizations to come in and help the survivors. The involvement of hundreds to thousands of nonstate and nongovernmental actors after big catastrophes in these countries may create more complex realities beyond the comprehension and the capacity of the respective actors such as governments and the local disaster response authority. Recent large-scale disasters in Asia (e.g. Indonesia, Myanmar, Pakistan) and the Caribbean (Haiti) resulted in high involvement by international nongovernmental organizations and international organizations (INGOs/IOs)
In Southeast Asia large-scale disasters and the presence of INGOs/IOs then trigger the creation of hundreds to thousands of local NGOs.
Proper coordination can foster better aid efficiency and effectiveness in post-disaster settings. Unfortunately, given the complexity of response to large scale disasters, that are often chaotic and uncoordinated, it is difficult to achieve efficiency and effectiveness. The situation can sometime lead to a ‘tragedy of the commons’.
Unfortunately, there is still lack of academic endeavor to use network theory for disaster research not only outside US and European contexts, but also for large-scale emergencies worldwide. In addition, the use of the approach in the US context is limited to a much smaller scale of nodes (organizational actors) involved in Katrina. This paper shows a disaster governance setting from developing countries, by focusing on the Indian Ocean Tsunami of 2004 in Aceh and Nias, Indonesia, where a “big bang” formation of post-disaster networks took place during 2005-2007. It also provides evidence concerning the network typology of large organizational networks following a largescale disaster.
This paper hypothesizes that understanding complexity through the use of network theory can help improve the performance of post-disaster interventions, especially in the context of large-scale natural hazards. The author uses the case of the Indian Ocean Tsunami 2004 in Aceh to demonstrate the potential use of network theory to unpack the complexity of aid agencies and organizations in post-disaster situations.
The key questions include: what does the complexity landscape for a typical network of humanitarian aid for large-scale disasters look like? What does it mean for managing complexity in post-disaster governance?
Section 2 discusses how network theory can be used to understand the details of complexity of organization-to-organization coordination. Section 3 discusses the concept of polycentric governance and its connection with network theory. Section 4 describes the research method. Section 5 provides the findings, which will be discussed in Section 6. Closing remarks are provided in Section 7.
Post-disaster intervention in Aceh and Nias (Indonesia) is complex.
Large scale disasters often created a breakdown in local institutions and governments leading to lack of clarity of authorities on the ground. This paper argues that conventional methods to guide understanding of postdisaster complexity proved ineffective. It took a longer time for local authorities to understand the macro picture of reconstruction players’ behaviors. Unfortunately, by the time the reconstruction authority began to understand the actors in more detail, the reconstruction period (often politically determined by national regulation) might already be ending. Experienced and trained authorities and officials are often struggling to deal with postdisaster complexity because they have rarely experienced a similar scale of disaster before. The quality of field intervention therefore always suffers from the lack of comprehension of the multifaceted problems on the field.
Complexity is now understood as one of the features of postdisaster reconstruction situations, which makes coordination difficult. Boin et al. argued that “coordination is the Holy Grail of disaster response: the call for more and better coordination is heard during and after most disasters. How complex networks under disaster conditions can be orchestrated remains unclear at best, however.”
Largescale disasters or major catastrophes can be defined as events that trigger the loss of lives in the hundreds to thousands, and that affect millions of people, collapse/damage thousands of buildings and create huge economic losses in proportion to the scale of economy of the areas affected. They create complexity that often goes beyond the comprehension of local authorities.
Intergovernmental and interorganizational interaction in a disaster context is complex.
Comfort et al.
Varda and colleagues
Creating a centralist incident command system and structure for postdisaster intervention is a serious challenge; especially when higherlevel authority can barely understand the landscape of complexity. Even though there may be options to suggest more decentralized intervention systems, such as the humanitarian cluster system recently promoted in global humanitarian response systems (see Table 1), such efforts may miss other emerging (uncontrolled) clusters that may not fit into the traditional sense of sectors and the humanitarian cluster system.
Adapted from Stumpenhorst et. al.1 and Stoddard et. al.14
Name of cluster
Convenor or cluster leader
Remarks/web links
Water, Sanitiation and Hygiene (WASH)
United Nations International a Children's Emergency Fund (UNICEF)
At subnational level, lead cluster can be a cluster member. See WASH clustermembers at https://washcluster.net/
Education
UNICEF and Save the Children Alliance
https://logcluster.org
Agriculture
Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)
Health
WHO (World Health Organization)
Emergency Shelter
United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) (for conflict) and International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent (IFRC) (for natural hazards)
https://sheltercluster.org
Early Recovery
UNDP (United Nations Development Programme)
https://www.earlyrecovery.info
Camp coordination and management
UNHCR and IOM (International Organisation for Migration)
In Haiti, only IOM. See www.globalcccmcluster.org
Logistics
WFP (World Food Programme)
https://logcluster.org
A disaster-risk governance framework recognizes the polycentric nature of disaster risk and emergency management, where there are many overlapping arenas (or centers) of authority and responsibility for disaster-risk reduction and post-disaster intervention. In this paper, polycentric governance refers to the nature of decision making in humanitarian emergencies as functioning across many centers and domains and across scales and levels.
Experienced field workers and specialists of international humanitarian emergencies may have predicted that the convenors of humanitarian clusters (Table 1) are the ones that are most likely to have high connections with regard to post disaster organizations’ networks. The cluster convenors are most likely to be part of the centers or hubs, while some other local organizations may hypothetically be the actors in the periphery. For instance, the International Federation of the Red Cross (IFRC) is likely to be a hub in the network because it is mandated to be the lead or convenor of emergency shelter clusters. Likewise, UNDP (United Nations Development Program) is likely to be important because it is mandated to lead early recovery clusters, which interact with most of the cluster leads. Table 1. Humanitarian emergency cluster and cluster convenors Source: Adapted from Stumpenhorst et. al.1 and Stoddard et. al.
A network (or networked) governance model challenges the old assumption of structural analysis in social science (including economics and engineering) that disaster management outcomes simply arise from the sum of efforts from agents, namely, individuals and organizations.
Network theory stems from graph theory, a branch of mathematics. The network theory suggests that it is not the sums of parts that matters but the connection of parts that matters most.
Social network theorists argue that network analysis presents a better explanation of social behavior because it assumes a society is by no means merely a sum of individuals – instead, society is actually comprised of networks of individuals, organizations, and institutions. The network is also known as a graph. A graph is a set of nodes and a set of lines between pairs of nodes. A graph represents the structure of a network; all it needs for this is a set of nodes (or vertices/points) and a set of lines (links) where each line connects two vertices. A line connects two dots or endpoints or vertices (nodes).
A node is the smallest unit in a network and can represent either an agent (e.g., an organization, an adult female/male, a biological cell, an object) or an institution Furthermore, a node/vertex can be identified by a number or a label. A line connects two nodes in a network, which can represent any relational quality. Loops are important to note because they represent organizations or actors that may not be linked with others and only represent themselves. They could be generous private agencies, for example, that come and distribute whatever forms of aid they are providing without being connected to the existing humanitarian cluster system. In the network structure, they must appear as standalone actors. The diameter of network and the average path length of the networks and loops will be measured. The distance is measured by the number of links for one node to connect to other node. The diameter of a network is the largest distance between any two nodes in the network. The average path length is the average distance between any two nodes in the network – a measure of efficiency of transmitting information or ideas. The later variable is bounded, but can be much shorter than by the former variable. Two types of centrality analysis are used, namely
The
This paper also evaluates the k-core of the network. A k-core classifies relatively dense sub-networks to find cohesive subgroups. “A k-core is a maximal subnetwork in which each vertex (node) has at least
Based on both Gephi’s network analysis and Pajek’s network algorithm, the diameter of the network is 5 (see Figure 1, Figure 2A and Figure 2B), with n = 797 nodes and 977 total links. The average path length is 1.715 (based on Gephi). The number of loops is 28, meaning that there are 28 nodes that link only to themselves. These loops are visible in Figure 2A.
Ten categories (partitions) were made: Aceh-Nias Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Agency (BRR Aceh Nias); Indonesia government institutions at a national level; local government organizations; bilateral aid from independent countries; multilateral aid organizations such as the United Nations, including the World Bank; international NGOs; local-national NGOs; private firms; universities; and others (none of the above). There were 472 INGOs in Aceh and Nias during 2005/2007 (Table 2) delivering their post disaster reconstruction aid (from housing to agricultural to health and other sectors). There were 147 NGOs. There were 25 multilateral organizations (such as United Nations agencies UNDP, WFP), including the World Bank and European Commission. There were 36 bilateral donors involved in this analysis (including the Australian Government, US Government, French and German governments, and so on). The Aceh-Nias Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Agency is grouped alone as BRR (Table 2). BRR is a multisector agency as it involved with and governs all the reconstruction sectors. Table 2. Sums of
Based on Force Atlas layout in Gephi. The size of the nodes reflect the degree of the nodes. The colors of the nodes reflect 90 communities detected within the network. The number of communities suggest the relative (un)connectedness of the dots (organisations). The nodes with low connection are scattered in outer boundary or periphery.
Figure 2A visualizes the all-degree ( or degree ) network (based on the number of links each node possesses. Figure 2B shows the centrality of actors (or ‘leadership’ of each node within the network. Figure 2C and 2D are k-core networks, which mean all nodes that are connected by k degree (or links) (or in this case 2 and 3 subsequently). The Figures are base don Gephi's ARF layout.
Figure 2A and 2B visualise the difference between
Source: Author. Data from BRR April 2007. The calculation uses Pajek mode 1 (directed network).
Groups
Degree
Indegree
Outdegree
# of orgs
Degree (%)
Outdegree (%)
Indegree (%)
# orgs (%)
Other Organizations
0.014
0.010
0.019
19
1.2%
0.8 %
1.5%
2.4%
University
0.015
0.005
0.025
10
1.2%
0.4%
2.0%
1.3%
Private Firms
0.043
0.067
0.019
51
3.5%
5.4%
1.5%
6.4%
Local/national NGOs
0.180
0.029
0.332
147
14.7%
2.3%
27.0%
18.4%
International NGOs
0.695
0.720
0.670
472
56.5%
58.5%
54.4%
59.2%
Multilateral orgs
0.133
0.185
0.082
25
10.8%
15.0%
6.6%
3.1%
Bilateral orgs
0.101
0.200
0.001
36
8.2%
16.2%
0.1%
4.5%
Local governments
0.024
0.009
0.039
28
1.9%
0.7%
3.2%
3.5%
National govt orgs
0.012
-
0.024
8
1.0%
0.0%
1.9%
1.0%
BRR
0.011
0.004
0.018
1
0.9%
0.3%
1.4%
0.1%
Total
1.23
1.23
1.23
797
100%
100%
100%
100%
Figure 3 shows that multilateral organizations comprised only 3.1% (25 organizations) of the total organisation, but they enjoyed a higher percentage in outdegree (15%). Bilateral donors comprised 4.5% (36 countries – as registered in the April 2007 database), however, their
This analysis demonstrates some interesting results. Bilateral organizations tend to play roles as donors. They tend to have high outdegree (Figure 3), but very low
Calculation was based on Pajek’s algorithm
Figure 4 shows the ‘power law’ phenomenon as seen (
Source: Author. Data from BRR April 2007. The calculation uses Pajek mode 1 (directed network).
Shrinked networks
# of nodes
% of nodes
# of links
% of links
2-core
249
31.05
478
48.93
3-core
76
9.48
186
19.04
≥ 5-degree nodes
92
11.47
160
16.38
≥ 10-degree nodes
29
3.62
42
4.03
≥ 15-degree nodes
13
1.62
17
1.74
However, in Social Network Analysis, there is already established knowledge concerning the strength of small ties that may be shadowed by the large connection of some nodes, which may be missed by a non-SNA expert. The concept of the ‘strength of small ties’ is already common and can be found in the Nooy, Mrvar, and Batagelj.
It is quite surprising that the diameter of humanitarian organizations is 5. Take any two organizations, of which one is any local NGO and the other is any international NGO, and the findings suggest that either the former or the latter will need, on average, five intermediaries to get connected for transaction. This suggests that humanitarian actors’ network typology in the context of large catastrophic disasters in the developing world (like Aceh, Indonesia) reflects real-world individual networks, as shown by former studies such as the work by Milgram.
The measure of network diameter is important because it shows the maximum distance between any two disaster response organizations. The implication of the network diameter in times of emergency intervention is more serious than Milgram’s ordinary social network. It is about life and death decisions and where organizations should get connected to achieve their common goals in saving lives and rebuilding the livelihoods of survivors. This means that if high authoritative agencies such as the
reconstruction authority BRR and United Nations Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) were willing to ensure level of quality control for a thousand organizations, they could simply send emails to all of them. However, how could they get the addresses or emails of those organizations? It may seem obvious that by reaching through the humanitarian clusters, they could reach the other organizations that were partners of the cluster members. The thing is, how can the noncluster actors be connected? Reaching out to all the actors is obviously a heavy task. One can argue that the authorities can simply use other forms of media. However, the realities on the ground are not that simple. The author argues that the flow of technical knowledge that ensures quality of implementation often flows according to the flow of grants. Implementing partners and aid distributors to communities tend to only comply with their funders. The intention to avoid overlaps of aid cannot be fully controlled along the almost 1000 kilometers of affected coastal communities (from the Nias Islands to south of Aceh to the west of Aceh and to the far east of Aceh).
This research shows the
What is unique about this research is the fact that it is not an experimental research. It is based on the real records concerning 1300 financial updates from almost 800 different organizations. Even though it does not reflect the absolute number of humanitarian and reconstruction organizations in Aceh during 2005/2007, the recorded list is estimated to be more than half of the total actors. In addition, all of these international and national actors were more or less used to visiting or to being based for a certain period of time in Aceh Province and the Nias Island during 2005/2007.
The question remains whether all of the links between the nodes can only be explained by financial transaction. The answer is, of course, not necessarily. Email communications can be one of the options. However, getting all the email records from the actors is also a serious challenge. The most important steps in network analysis are clearly defining what are the nodes and the links represented. In this exercise, the links are the financial transactions. The nodes are the organizations. Therefore, for future research, one could investigate more complex dimensions where the nodes can be any organization and any individual and the links can either be more broadly defined (financial transactions, knowledge and innovation sharing and standards) or more specific in relations, such as informal gatherings of individuals.
The findings have significant implications for disaster management communities. Field coordination of humanitarian emergency actors is a complex and difficult task. The author did not expect to find that the network typology of humanitarian and post-disaster reconstruction actors is similar to real world social networks.
The use of Aceh’s reconstruction updates provides more realistic views of the organizational coordination. It is also noted that the emergence of hubs in humanitarian networks, namely humanitarian clusters, are proven to be central nodes. Therefore, governing post-disaster interventions can be better guided by understanding this phenomenon. United Nations agencies and local authorities can improve coordination effectiveness through the existing humanitarian clusters. What is lacking is that some hubs are not included in the (traditional) humanitarian clusters. Therefore, the vision of coordination should move beyond the existing humanitarian clusters. Ramalingam et al. highlights that cross-organizational networks have played pivotal roles in post-disaster interventions in recent decades.
When a disaster emergency occurs at the scale of, or larger than, the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, there can suddenly develop an ad-hoc big-bang formation of humanitarian emergency networks. The networks often grew and then faded away. Furthermore, they may be transformed into new network structures. Key government agencies were often not able to comprehend the complexity, and the network novelty grows as thousands of events (intervention projects) occur during the emergency and reconstruction phases. The emergency network may later transform into a new network as new reconstruction and recovery begins in a new disaster affected area in another part of the world.
Large-scale disasters in developing countries triggered more than a hundred donor countries, hundreds of international NGOs that also serve as donors, and created the new formation of local NGOs in Aceh and Sri Lanka; Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar, a devastating earthquake in Haiti, and floods in Pakistan 2010 led to the recruitment of thousands reconstruction workers from hundreds of NGOs.
This analysis can be done as the events (or humanitarian responses) occur on the ground. It may create opportunities for respective authorities to play smart coordination roles through several informed decentralized systems. Organizations like OCHA have often played roles in the first week of disasters in developing worlds like Indonesia. Their approach, to document “who is doing what where and when”, can be rapidly analyzed regularly in the field. However, this requires human resources which are often not locally available. Nevertheless, as long as there is accurate information concerning “who is doing what where and when” and as long as there is qualified staff at headquarters, the analysis can be done and networks can be monitored regularly. In addition, if this can be done, the formation of a network and the burst of the network can be adequately monitored before, during and after humanitarian mission.
There is confirmed evidence that post-disaster intervention after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami emerged as a governance network. The involvement of actors and stakeholders (from the local to the global level) ranged from local NGOs, to national and local governments, to international financial institutions and the United Nations, to universities, private firms, bilateral aid and so on. Government is not the only central actor, as there are many central actors as evidenced by the centrality analysis (
The exercise can go beyond the grantors-grantees relationship as presented in this paper. Real exercises on the ground should be possible, and network theory can help coordinating agencies, such as disaster risk management authorities (local and national) and international humanitarian coordinating agencies such as OCHA, and other humanitarian clusters’ leaders to map the complex landscape of post-disaster intervention in order to inform their actions to provide more effective and efficient intervention. Based on the experience from Aceh, the author also suggests that the concept of humanitarian cluster approaches can be strengthen using social network analysis. This can certainly help both national and international intervention systems to be more effective and efficient.
The emergence of hubs highlights the strength of a disaster governance framework, because the hubs are in fact ‘multiple centers’ where command and resources are flowed through to the fields. This is the ‘polycentric’ feature of emergency and reconstruction management. It promotes the notion that there are many overlapping centers of authority and responsibility for disaster risk reduction and post-disaster intervention. It can be concluded that the structure of a post-disaster system is highly decentralized. Therefore, any effort to guarantee the quality of interventions must understand the nature of the network. This phenomenon is called ‘networked governance’ of post-disaster interventions.
Large-scale disaster risks bring their own typology of actors’ networks. However, the network is not randomly formed. Interestingly, the network diameter reflects the real world network. This seems to be counter intuitive, as people may think that the level of ties or connection between any two humanitarian actors in a specific disaster affected geography can be less than real world individual networks. It is clear that without understanding the landscape of complexity, government authority may not be able to create ‘organized behavior’ among nearly thousands of reconstruction players to guaranty quality in emergency intervention and reconstruction.
There are limitations in this research. Despite clear operational benefits of this approach, future works should provide more empirical evidence from recent large-scale disasters beyond financial transaction. This analysis is limited to ‘principal-client’ networks among donors and implementers, regardless of the localities where they work. More exploration on the different use of social network analytical tools for disaster studies is suggested. Cases from Haiti can also be presented in the future (work in progress). The application of the theory is arguably wide and can be applied in the wider context of disaster research. This includes more valuable measurements such as the density of a network that can be measured over different periods of time (rather than treating the network as a single period).
Post-disaster governance is therefore not entirely unique. It is rather a microcosmos of real world networks. However, more comprehensive study concerning the type and scale of disasters and their typical networks may guide authorities in the United Nations and governments to perform better in future post-disaster interventions.
The author has declared that no competing interests exist. This research is an independent work.
The quality of this paper improved due to constructive reviews from the reviewers and editor at PLOS Current Disasters. The author would like to thank Indonesia Program at Harvard Kennedy School. Earlier draft of this paper was presented at the 6th Annual International Workshop & Expo on Sumatra Tsunami Disaster & Recovery 2011, in Conjunction with 4th South China Sea Tsunami Workshop. The draft was also shared online as a working paper of IRGSC (www.irgsc.org). The views in this paper is the author’s own.