Since joining the Scottish Government I have been leading on a number of key policy areas, including: justice; transport; fisheries; public services reform and the setting up of the new scrutiny bodies in Scotland; health and social care improvement. More recently I led the Scottish Government Response Team (SGoRR) and dealt with a number of emergencies and high profile incidents, including severe winter weather and the Clutha Vaults helicopter crash. I am currently the Natural Hazards policy lead for the Scottish Government Resilience Division, and also lead on the implementation and sponsorship of the National Centre for Resilience (NCR). I have experience of fast-paced and high profile areas as well as a high degree of stakeholder engagement, both internal and external to Government, often at senior level. I also represent the Scottish Government on the a number of UK-wide groups, including the Natural Hazards Partnership Steering Group, and the Public Weather Service Customer Group. I am a graduate of the University of Florence (Italy) where I studied law and I am a dual qualified and bilingual Italian/Scottish Solicitor and Notary Public. This was followed by a Master of Arts Degree in Social Policy and Criminology at The Open University-Scotland. I live and work in Edinburgh (Scotland - UK) with my husband and a young daughter. I also volunteer as a pro-bono solicitor supporting local communities
Head of Extreme Events and Health Protection, Public Health England, UK
Introduction: An all-of-society approach to disaster risk reduction emphasizes inclusion and engagement in preparedness activities. A common recommendation is to promote household preparedness through the preparation of a ‘grab bag’ or ‘disaster kit’, that can be used to shelter-in-place or evacuate. However, there are knowledge gaps related to how this strategy is being used around the world as a disaster risk reduction strategy, and what evidence there is to support recommendations.
Methods: In this paper, we present an exploratory study undertaken to provide insight into how grab bag guidelines are used to promote preparedness in Canada, China, England, Japan, and Scotland, and supplemented by a literature review to understand existing evidence for this strategy.
Results: There are gaps in the literature regarding evidence on grab bag effectiveness. We also found variations in how grab bag guidelines are promoted across the five case studies.
Discussion: While there are clearly common items recommended for household grab bags (such as water and first aid kits), there are gaps in the literature regarding: 1) the evidence base to inform guidelines; 2) uptake of guidelines; and 3) to what extent grab bags reduce demands on essential services and improve disaster resilience.
The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 advocates an all-of-society approach toward disaster risk reduction (DRR). This approach recognizes the importance of engagement - across all levels of society - in preparedness activities, including action toward household preparedness
Household preparedness recommendations are typically oriented toward encouraging people to prepare their households; for self-sufficiency during and after a disaster for at least three days. Grab bags, which can be used to shelter-in-place or evacuate, are commonly recommended as a preparedness strategy
As a first step toward addressing these questions, we present an exploratory study designed to provide insight into how grab bag guidelines are used to promote preparedness in Canada, China, England, Japan, and Scotland, supplemented with a literature review focused on existing research evidence for this DRR strategy. Our objective is to provide an overview of different practices, in combination with existing literature, to inform future research agendas in this area.
This study is comprised of two parts: the first is a literature review of grab bag guidelines and supporting research evidence and the second is a five-country case study of approaches used to promote grab bags for household preparedness.
For the literature review, peer reviewed publications and grey literature 2006-2016 were searched using two databases (Embase and Scopus), as well as Google. Keywords included: emergency supply kit; emergency kit; go bag; grab bag; disaster supply kit; disaster emergency kit; emergency preparedness kit; disaster; emergency; hazards; evidence; emergency preparedness; resilience; and community resilience. The inclusion criteria were: 1) published in English, 2) focus on household preparedness, and 3) reference to grab bags. We did not include studies focused on general preparedness, or grab bag guidelines specific to pets, businesses and communities. The articles were reviewed and summarized by two co-authors (CP, TO), with emphasis on terminology, evidence of evaluation, and content of grab bags. See Appendix for database search strategies and a summary of search results by database.
The five-country case study included a comparison of approaches used to promote grab bags as a household preparedness strategy. Interns from Canada, China, and Japan, working at Public Health England, conducted research focused on their own countries and England, to contribute to an exchange of preparedness practices. Scotland was included for its novel approach in the establishment of a National Centre for Resilience (NCR).
The results are presented in two parts.
Of the 31 articles reviewed, 22 used grab bags as a measure of disaster preparedness. Most of these articles used survey methods to assess population preparedness, using indicators such as having a grab bag and an emergency plan. Facilitators and barriers were commonly discussed, with references to action by different demographics (eg. age, gender, marital status, education).
Bagwell et al.
Five studies investigated medication and medical supplies as important items for a grab bag
Nine articles did not focus on grab bags as a measure of preparedness, instead they emphasized content and effectiveness of grab bags
Perman et al.
Authors
Purpose of the articles
Focus on grab bags
Terminology
Annis, Jacoby, & DeMers
Evaluate preparedness among US Navy personnel
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness
Disaster kit; Emergency kit; Emergency preparedness kit; Emergency supplies kit
Goodhue et al.
Evaluate preparedness of families with children in an intestinal rehabilitation clinic
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; How many households have a grab bag versus individual items; Extra supplies for children with special needs
Emergency supply kit; Disaster kit; Disaster survival kit
Heagele
Review evidence on effectiveness of grab bags used in household preparedness in the US
Inconsistent reporting; Lack of evidence on effectiveness; Lack of literature on how grab bags items are determined;Facilitators and barriers to preparing grab bags
Disaster preparedness kit; Disaster supply kit
Kruvand & Bryant
Examine whether the CDC* zombie apocalypse campaign translated to preparedness knowledge/ behaviour in youth
Intention to assemble a grab bag used as a measure of preparedness; Strategies to educate youth
Emergency kit
Ochi et al.
Make recommendations on effective preparedness based on a systematic review of medication loss in disasters
Specific items to be included in grab bags: medications and medical aids
Emergency pack; Emergency kit
Tanner & Doberstein
Examine the level of emergency preparedness among University students
Grab bags and individual components used as a measure of preparedness
Emergency preparedness kit; Emergency kit
Thomas et al.
Report on outcomes of CDC employees participating in Ready CDC
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness
Emergency kit
USAID
Report on how grab bags increased earthquake preparedness in Nepal
Woman’s experience using a grab bag after earthquake was effective
Go bag; Disaster preparedness kit; Emergency kit
Witvorapong, Muttarak & Pothisiri
Examine determinants of and relationships between social participation and disaster preparedness
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness
Emergency kit
Asada et al.
Survey pharmaceutical patients about preparedness and preservation of medication lists during a disaster
Discusses medication preparation and preservation for diabetes; Suggests keeping a medication lists
Emergency bag
Bagwell et al.
Assess preparedness of families of children with special healthcare needs and the impact of education and interventions
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; Participants received backpack with first aid supplies and flashlights
Disaster kit
Chan et al.
Examine if previous disaster experience increases household preparedness in a village in China
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness
Disaster Emergency kit; Disaster kit
Jassempour et al.
Evaluate the effectiveness of applying a PAPM*-based disaster preparedness education program by focusing on uptake or creation of survival kits
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; Measured level of awareness of grab bags and contents
Disaster survival kit
Kohn et al.
Measure outcomes of a personal preparedness curriculum for public health workers
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; Linking dissemination with improved uptake; Discussed barriers and facilitators to preparedness behaviours
Emergency kit; Supply kit; Emergency preparedness kit; Preparedness kit
McCormick et al.
Examine the effects of experiencing a tornado on preparedness awareness and personal preparedness
Grab bags and individual grab bag items used as a measure of preparedness pre- and post-tornado
Preparedness kit; Disaster preparedness kit; Emergency preparedness kit; Disaster kit
Gershon et al.
Characterize preparedness for persons with disabilities, determine the role of the personal assistant and the impact of prior emergency experience on preparedness
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; Populations changed contents of grab bags after experiencing a disaster
Go-bag; Grab bag
McCormick, Pevear & Xie
Evaluate the level of preparedness of residents and ‘at-risk’ residents, using the mass media personal preparedness ‘Get10’ campaign recommendations
Grab bags and individual grab bag items used as a measure of preparedness
Disaster kit; Preparedness kit; Disaster preparedness kit
Burke, Bethel, & Foreman Britt
Assess knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions about disaster preparedness among Latino migrant and seasonal workers in North Carolina.
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness
Emergency kit
Loke, Lai & Fung
Explore the extent of disaster preparedness and concerns about disasters among the elderly in Hong Kong
Individual grab bag items used as a measure of preparedness
Survival pack; Emergency survival kit; Supplies kit
Tomio, Sato & Mizumura
Describe disaster preparedness among patients with rheumatoid arthritis and examine how differences in health, functional, and disability conditions are associated with disaster preparedness
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; Focus on medications and medical records as a measure of medical preparedness
Emergency pack
Iannucci
Create a prototype person-centered program that individualizes preparedness for persons living in poverty with a disability
Abstract only. Identify and evaluate items needed for a tailored grab bag
Emergency kit; Preparedness kit
Perman et al.
Compare content guidelines for 71 grab bag guidelines in US
Analysis of comprehensiveness and specificity of grab bag guidelines
Disaster kit
Schmidt et al.
Explore perceptions of personal and program preparedness of nursing students
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness
Disaster kit; Go bag
Semenza, Ploubidis & George
Explore whether the health frame can act as a motivating factor for climate change adaptation behaviour to reduce climate risks
Grab bags used as a measure of climate change adaptation
Emergency kit
Crawford & McAlister
Prepare a high-risk population for disaster
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; Distributed 3000 grab bags
Go-bag
Kettunen et al.
Evaluate educational efforts of a pandemic preparedness committee and assess community readiness
Grab bags used as a measure of pandemic preparedness
Emergency kit
Feret & Bratberg
Assess views of preparation and readiness of assisted-living residents after participating in a preparedness program
Grab bags used as a measure of preparedness; Focus on medical information and supplies
Disaster kit; Emergency preparedness kit; Emergency kit
Department of Homeland Security
Update and summarize current citizen preparedness research
Comparison of grab bag surveys from 2005-2007; Review of studies using grab bags as a measure of preparedness
Disaster supply kit; Emergency preparedness kit; Go bag; Disaster kit; Emergency supply kit
Kleinpeter, Norman & Krane
Describe disaster planning, implementation, and follow-up that occurred in a PD* program after Hurricane Katrina
Patients told to bring 1 week of PD supplies. No other grab bag contents specified
Disaster kit
Mack et al.
Introduce a curriculum that prepares low-income, low-resource families to survive disaster
Discusses barriers to grab bag assembly; Emphasizes need for items for children and culturally diverse food lists
Disaster kit; Safety kit; Disaster preparedness kit; Preparedness kit; Disaster survival kit
McRandle
Provide tips and environmentally sensitive solutions to help people manage in a disaster
Discusses items to include and the need to check items regularly
Emergency kit
Public Safety Canada designates grab bags as emergency kits. The following is a list of items suggested: water, food, a manual can opener, wind-up battery-powered flashlights, a radio with extra batteries, first aid kit, extra keys for the car and house, cash, travelers’ cheques and change, and important family documents (e.g. identification, insurance, bank records, a copy of the household emergency plan, and contact information)
In addition to publications, the 72 Hour Preparedness campaign uses a range of dissemination techniques through promotional materials, social media, advertising, exhibits and special events, such as the annual Emergency Preparedness Week in May
Other organizations in Canada that provide online guidelines for preparing grab bags are the Canadian Red Cross, Scouts Canada, Girl Guides Canada, and individual provincial/territorial governments and municipalities. Of note, the quantity and types of items suggested varies by organization, with some commonalities, such as water and food. There are extensive guidelines from organizations within Canada describing items to include in household grab bags and how they might be used, however there are inconsistencies, particularly in terminology. For example, the Canadian Red Cross calls them disaster preparedness kits
While all organizations utilize their websites to disseminate disaster preparedness information, some are more proactive at communicating to the public. The Canadian Red Cross (@redcrosscanada) and Public Safety Canada (@Get_Prepared) for example, use Twitter to promote preparedness. Additionally, The Canadian Red Cross created a preparedness app called ‘Be Ready’ which aims to spread awareness of the importance of preparedness while giving people a tool to help prepare for and act in a disaster
Recommendations for grab bags, prepared by CCOUC in 2009, are based on the main protection principles highlighted by the Sphere Handbook
CCOUC emphasizes that decisions regarding what to include in a grab bag be based on public health principles and individual needs. For example, it is important to consider the special needs of patients living with chronic conditions
Picture taken by co-author (GKWC) and may be published under the CC-BY license with permission from the copyright holder (GKWC), original copyright 2016.
In 2004, the Government produced and sent a leaflet to all residents
The use of grab bags is now currently promoted locally. For example, an LRF, based in Bedfordshire (BLRF), uses Twitter (@what_would)
The way guidelines for grab bags are presented varies considerably across England. CSW uses a light-hearted manner across their website and Twitter presence with a family of cartoon characters based on crash test dummies to emphasise the points being made
In London, a grab bag display can be found in the Natural History Museum, in their Volcanoes and Earthquakes Exhibition (see Figure 2). Using ‘go-bag’ as their terminology of choice, the simplistic and comprehensive display summarises the goal of grab bags: to provide food, water, shelter, warmth, communication, tools, first aid, and hygiene. The display includes physical examples of the items, such as a wind-up radio, waterproof notebook and the grab bag itself. The grab bag is defined in relation to people living in earthquake zones and can be found in the exhibit about the deadly 2011 earthquake and tsunami in Japan.
Photo taken by the lead author (CJP) with permission from the Natural History Museum. Image may be published under the CC-BY license with permission from the copyright holder (CJP), original copyright 2018.
The grab bag contents suggested by the FDMA
The FDMA handbook has various advantages. Firstly, it can be accessed electronically. Secondly, cartoon images are used in each chapter to make it easier to understand for people with limited literacy skills or for whom Japanese is not their first language. Only a limited portion of the official website is translated into English, therefore it would be difficult for people who cannot read Japanese to access the webpage.
The Scottish approach is delivered through an assets-based community development approach by Scotland’s resilience community. This means providing individuals and groups of people with the knowledge and skills they need to effect change in their own communities, through a process of engagement, education, empowerment and encouragement
The National Centre for Resilience (NCR) acts as a “hub” for the Scottish resilience community providing research, analysis and leadership in developing best practices. It facilitates shared outcomes and priorities in community resilience by supporting partners through design, delivery and dissemination of resources and toolkits such as grab bags
This paper presents a literature review focused on the use of grab bags to promote household preparedness and five country case studies of grab bag promotion. Though the academic literature has identified a gap in empirical evidence for this DRR strategy, promotion of grab bags continues. Indeed the authors who contributed to featured case studies support grab bag strategies, recognizing the approach’s potential to save lives and reduce negative disaster impacts. This strategy reflects the precautionary principle; which stipulates that risk management action can be taken despite scientific uncertainty due to lack of evidence, to protect people from harm
Two of the 31 articles reviewed explicitly provided information on the effectiveness of grabs bags for increasing community resilience. Heagele
Research examining the effectiveness of grab bags as a preparedness behaviour would be beneficial to: 1) inform policy makers, government officials, and investors about the potential return of investment on promotional grab bag campaigns; 2) enhance motivation for grab bag preparation; and 3) improve knowledge about the most useful items to include in a grab bag. A research agenda should include qualitative methods to capture experiences of peoples’ use of grab bags. These methods could improve understanding of grab bags usage and how to move people from awareness to action; grab bags might also influence public confidence regarding whether preparedness actions will make a difference in a disaster
This literature review revealed that grab bags are an integral DRR strategy, and often used as an indicator for preparedness. The literature is predominantly quantitative, and focused on facilitators and barriers to preparedness at household and individual levels. The quantitative studies that examined grab bag use, by investigating completeness of grab bags compared to official guidelines, provide a base for future research. Qualitative and mixed methods studies are needed to better understand the role of grab bags in supporting community resilience.
The five-country case study revealed promising practices to promote awareness and action. Empirical studies to understand the uptake of recommendations would enable organizations to invest in practices that have higher impact on behavioural outcomes. The literature has repeatedly shown that a small percentage of the population is prepared and has a formal grab bag ready
The following recommendations are provided to address gaps in the literature on effectiveness of grab bags, and share promising practices in household preparedness strategies. This study supports the continued use, promotion, and preparation of grab bags, despite lack of evidence of effectiveness. To build an evidence-base, more research is needed to understand: 1) the evidence base that informs guidelines; 2) uptake of grab bag guidelines at the household level; and 3) to what extent grab bags can reduce demands on essential services and improve disaster resilience. Such research can provide insight on how to encourage public engagement in disaster preparedness practices and support community resilience processes.
Future research should also continue to examine dissemination techniques to ensure guidelines are reaching intended audiences and promoting positive change in preparedness behaviour. Tailored messaging will ensure the needs of different populations are included, particularly for households where there are limited means to assemble supplies.
Defined terminology is an important aspect for grab bag guidelines, the most common terms used were ‘disaster kit’, ‘emergency kit’, ‘disaster preparedness kit’, and ‘emergency preparedness kit’. Introducing standardized terms could help to minimize confusion and provide consistency for sharing information between countries and organizations. An additional recommendation is to add the term ‘grab bag’ to the glossary of terms provided by leading organisations in DRR such as the World Health Organization (WHO).
The results of this study identified gaps in the evidence on the effectiveness of grab bags, and found variations in guidelines and promotion practices across different countries. With the implementation of the Sendai Framework and its emphasis on an all-of-society approach to DRR
#
Searches
Results
1
("grab bag*" or grab-bag* or "go bag*" or GoBag* or go-bag* or "bug out bag*").tw.
19
2
((disaster or emergenc*) adj2 (kit* or bag* or pack*)).tw.
385
3
1 or 2
404
4
((surviv* or evacuat* or disaster* or emergenc* or hazard*) adj3 (plan* or prepar*)).tw.
9931
5
disaster/ or disaster planning/
21453
6
4 or 5
28499
7
3 and 6
46
8
limit 7 to ((chinese or english or japanese) and yr="2006 -Current")
39
9
(us* or stor* or cont* or supplies or composition or inclu* or prepar* or list* or checklist* or guideline*).tw.
12274294
10
8 and 9
37
11
(effective* or resilien* or efficien* or benefi* or impact or success* or useful*).tw.
4501740
12
8 and 11
19
Screenshot taken by the lead author (CJP). Image may be published under the CC-BY license with permission from the copyright holder (CJP), original copyright 2018.
Source
Results
EMBASE
39 (27 relevant)
SCOPUS
58 (22 relevant)
TOTAL (after removing duplicates)
35
Christina J. Pickering (cpick030@uottawa.ca) and Dr. Virginia Murray (Virginia.Murray@phe.gov.uk.)
All relevant data are within the manuscript.
I have read the journal’s policy and have the following conflicts to declare. The following co-authors of this manuscript are currently members of the Editorial Board for a PLOS Currents journal: Dr. Emily YY Chan, Dr. Tracey O'Sullivan, and Dr. Virginia Murray. The authors have no other competing interests to declare.